Greetings and Blessings,
Following the issuance of the Mother’s Day announcement in Canada, an individual left a comment criticizing me for “failing to offer condolences to the mothers of protesters killed in recent events in Iran.” In response to this comment, I must state that the criticism is valid, and I was anticipating such a comment to share certain insights regarding this matter—even though my response, as always, due to its realism and avoidance of selling illusions and fantasies, may taste bitter and unpleasant to some.
First) I have repeatedly and consistently offered my condolences and expressed my deep empathy to the families of these victims. Anyone can easily review the numerous messages I have published during this period to verify this.).
Second) Condolences to the grieving mothers and families of this immense tragedy should have been, and must be, offered by those who gave completely false information (including the claim that 150,000 defecting regime forces would join the movement), peddled illusions, deceived public opinion, and raised the Israeli and American flags abroad as “supporters of the Iranian nation.” They reduced the broad demands of the public and the entire Iranian nation into an individualistic pursuit of power. They allowed foreign media outlets affiliated with Israel to misrepresent the movement by reporting protesters attacking mosques and religious sites and burning the Quran abroad in the name of domestic protesters. They falsely claimed that assistance was being sent to protesters and was on its way. They made untruthful claims about the national protests being led by an individual allied with Israel (even though the people had initiated their protests much earlier). Furthermore, for the first time in the ups and downs of this land’s history, they petitioned foreign powers to intervene and attack Iran, even going so far as to request the nuclear bombardment of Iran—all of which are documented facts that will remain recorded in history. (Whereas, the true motive of many active figures in this sphere was to gain access to Iran’s blocked assets abroad, which exceed billions of dollars, as well as Iran’s other wealth overseas, turning this into the most lucrative business venture in history for permanent activists in this field, driven by a desire to divide the spoils, claim power centered around an individual, and distribute thousands of positions and titles, rather than addressing the rights of the nation, ensuring the people benefit from national wealth, or dismantling absolute autocracy.) Ultimately, these strategic and tactical errors, along with the dissemination of false information, led to the victimization of so many innocent people. Moreover, raising the Israeli flag abroad caused these individuals to be cast as agents of Israel, resulting in their blood being shed in vain, and causing those arrested to be executed on charges of espionage for Israel or to spend their lives serving long-term prison sentences. On this matter, it must be noted that some individuals were genuinely deceived by this misinformation and political bluffing, leading them to cooperate with Israeli news agencies; they lost their lives over these political blunders, immaturity, and the ambition and power-seeking of the main architects of this affair, which still continues. Evidently, the historical responsibility for these tragedies rests with the designers of these illusions and their affiliated news agencies. By injecting misplaced fantasies and offering weak, shallow, and naive analyses, they deceived thousands of innocent people, drew them into the streets, and caused their deaths (not to mention the sinister policy of manufacturing casualties, the evidence of which will remain recorded in history).
Ironically, despite this horrific tragedy, those claiming leadership over the movement not only failed to offer condolences to the families of the victims of this immense human catastrophe and offered zero apologies for providing false information, but they even referred to them as “war casualties,” treating the incident as a natural and unavoidable consequence. Yet, we know full well that these people had not entered any war; the protesters in Iran were largely demanding their basic rights and their share of the national wealth, and had they enjoyed a prosperous life, they would never have protested. Those individuals abroad who shout the slogan “We will take Iran back”—the roaring lions of the diaspora—would undoubtedly have stayed in their homes and remained silent had they been inside the country (just as no one has actually traveled to Iran to join the struggle). When they chant this slogan, their actual meaning is for the United States and Israel to conquer the country, even if it is reduced to ruins, and then hand it over to them so they can rule, ride the throne of power, and exploit the national wealth single-handedly. It is not that these individuals are true freedom fighters who understand the principles of struggle or intend to engage in a real face-to-face confrontation. This is precisely why they failed, and they will never go to Tehran. Though this truth is bitter, they will gradually realize it is a reality, and that they themselves are to blame. As experience has clearly shown and history has recorded, this group has produced nothing but profanity—using the most vulgar insults imaginable—and their actions threaten to degrade and drag the rich culture of Iran through the mud. Indeed, if figures like Cyrus the Great were to come alive today and see that such vile profanity is uttered in the name of the civilization of Cyrus and ancient Iran, to the point that even children are being negatively influenced, they would surely prefer to die again out of sheer shame.
It is worth noting that Iran’s thousands-of-years-old culture has been shaped by sages and luminaries; everything rich in Iranian culture is a legacy left behind by them (Nowruz, Sizdah Bedar, Mehregan, etc., are legacies of sages, not historical monarchs). Our history had never witnessed a culture of profanity until the 1953 coup d’état (Mordad 28, 1332 SH), when Shaban Bimokh (Shaban “the Brainless”), street thugs, and prostitutes led by Pari Bolandeh introduced this vulgar culture (according to existing documents released by the Western planners and executors of the coup). This culture has now been revived and upgraded in the most coordinated manner to isolate civilized, polite, and distinguished movements, allowing the crude faction to present itself as the sole dominant force in Iran and seize the reins of affairs. While this vulgar current is only 73 years old (originating from Shaban Bimokh and Pari Bolandeh), it falsely presents itself wrapped in a 2585-year history. Surely, such a vulgar attitude cannot overcome an Iranian culture that spans at least 5000 years. This is yet another reason why this movement failed and will never reach Tehran.
Another reason for this failure is their open and overt hostility toward Iran’s diverse ethnicities, including the Kurds, Turks, Lurs, Baluchis, and others, all of whom have been disrespected by this faction. They even went so far as to threaten these noble ethnicities of Iran with violence and the ignition of a “second Holocaust”—which, naturally, will never happen. This is compounded by their insults toward all other intellectual movements and dissident thinkers, who undoubtedly remained silent over these months for various reasons, waiting to witness the failure of this faction and to see with their own eyes how history chastises crude and arrogant individuals and puts them in their place, some sooner and some later. Ultimately, one cannot achieve lasting success through profanity and threats, and sooner or later, the curtains will be drawn back.
Of course, there are numerous other diverse reasons that fall outside the scope of this discussion and warrant a separate, detailed occasion.
However, regarding the outcome for the warmongers who—driven by immaturity, raw emotions, and false information—demanded that the United States and Israel attack Iran, conquer it, and hand it over to them: Months ago, I expressed my opposition to such intervention through written statements, audio messages, and declarations during rallies, announcing the inevitable failure of this movement. As a result, I was accused of lacking political insight, aligning with the Islamic Republic, and faced many other slanders. Yet today is the day we can witness the invalidation of their views and the correctness of our own approach.
Third) It is absolutely vital to note here that the Islamic Republic is highly grateful to all proponents of war and military strikes against Iran—which were pushed under the guises of “supporting the Iranian people” and “humanitarian intervention”—and certainly appreciates the service this group has rendered. Aside from creating severe divisions among diaspora Iranians, shattering any possibility of unity or solidarity, and tarnishing the reputation of Iranians in the eyes of other nations, this intervention has directly contributed to several outcomes and successes for Iran, which I will list briefly:
- Iran emerging as a superpower following the military failure of the US and Israel in a war against it. (I must emphasize that bombing a country’s infrastructure does not constitute a military advantage or victory. On this point, all military experts know full well that even if Iran is reduced to ruins, it yields no military advantage for the US or Israel; such bombings are viewed as actions born out of desperation and defeat—merely an act of retaliation for losses incurred, the hardships of which the Iranian nation must bear. Furthermore, this status as a superpower will not only endure, but its military capability and authority will expand day by day over time).
- The reclaiming of Bahrain (we will witness this event soon, alongside many other regional developments, including the fracturing of the UAE, etc.).
- The reversal of capital flight from Iran to Dubai, leading to the shutdown of operations in Dubai and inflicting billions of dollars in losses on that country’s interests and Western investments.
- Introducing Iran to the world on a massive scale. Until recently, many people globally did not even know where Iran was; whenever foreigners were told someone was Iranian, it required extensive explanation. Now, the entire world knows exactly where Iran is and how powerful it is, given that the US, Israel, and forty other intervening nations could not bring it down or force its surrender during the conflict.
- Gaining global popularity among anti-imperialist and anti-Zionist movements worldwide, as well as among citizens of various countries.
- Mobilizing Muslims across the region—such as in Iraq, Pakistan, Turkey, etc.—and drawing their focus closer toward Iran.
- Gaining control over the Strait of Hormuz, establishing a massive source of revenue by collecting transit fees through this chokepoint.
- Acquiring global economic leverage, allowing it to directly influence the world economy to the extent of raising or lowering global inflation. Currently, it holds the potential to trigger a collapse of the US economy (oil prices at $150 per barrel can deal a devastating economic blow to the US, leading to the bankruptcy of numerous corporations and industries, such as Spirit Airlines in the US).
- Securing official recognition by maritime insurance companies, making it mandatory to obtain confirmation and transit permits from relevant Iranian authorities for ship insurance issuance.
- Fostering greater solidarity among diverse segments of the population inside the country.
- Amassing a dedicated force of volunteers (Jan-fada),with numbers surpassing 31 million people to date.
- The declaration of solidarity by a large number of diaspora Iranians with the Islamic Republic.
- Securing total confidence in maintaining the regime’s military capabilities, ensuring it retains its nuclear capabilities, missile programs, proxy forces, etc., and refuses under any circumstances to negotiate or concede on them.
- Establishing surveillance and leverage over diaspora Iranians. Consequently, many individuals can no longer travel back and forth to Iran, and significant amounts of property have been seized. Moving forward, administrative and consular services will be denied to diaspora Iranians accused of cooperating with hostile states. Where will they turn to handle their essential affairs now? This is the ultimate fate of being naive, falling for illusions, and playing the “roaring lion” abroad. (Note: I am not saying this for myself. In 2018 [1397 SH], while inside Evin Prison, I formally requested the revocation of my citizenship from the Islamic Republic system. Currently, I hold only Canadian citizenship and fled Iran illegally without a passport).
- Indirectly contributing to the unseating of the US President and destroying his electoral chances in the upcoming presidential election due to the war with Iran. This is reinforced by visible opposition to the war from various circles—especially with the US Congress intervening regarding the conflict—the unfolding of the Epstein case, the dissatisfaction of the American populace with inflation, the “No King” 👑 movement, the massive profits gained by war operators through oil trading during the conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the issue of tariffs dealing blows to the global economy. Collectively, these factors have completely erased the Republican party’s chances in the next cycle, meaning Israel will consequently lose one of its greatest allies in the presidency (and Bibi’s own situation is not looking very favorable either).
- Delivering the final blow to the monarchy, the throne, and royal restoration. The fundamental and strategic mistakes of that movement were the primary cause of this outcome. The Islamic Republic, by indirectly strengthening this faction through its own assets, succeeded in killing two birds with one stone: securing the aforementioned advantages while causing a massive collapse in support for the monarchist faction once its political bluffs were exposed, leaving it with no remaining chances.
- The forced lifting of sanctions against Iran and the imminent release of Iran’s frozen billions of dollars.
- The return of development, prosperity, and the relief of droughts in Iran due to the dismantling of the “HAARP” project, along with the destruction of its regional equipment and associated radar antennas, which has improved urban air pollution through increased rainfall.
- Acquiring the capability to disrupt regional internet traffic. Iran will temporarily hold a winning card with the ability to execute the worst-case scenario for internet disruption in the region. Realistically, if pressure is applied to Iran and it acts on this threat, parts of the region will face slow, unstable, and expensive internet connection for a period, creating a domino effect on the economy and critical services both regionally and globally. A severe regional and trans-regional scenario could unfold as follows:
- Simultaneous disruption across multiple main routes: If several critical routes in the Persian Gulf and its surroundings (for instance, alongside Red Sea / Arabian Sea routes) are taken offline simultaneously, regional traffic will be forced onto a few limited alternative routes, leading to immediate consequences:
- Increased latency in communications and a sharp drop in speeds.
- Partial loss of overall network capacity.
- Instability in routing protocols.
- Overwhelming pressure on alternative routes: Alternative pathways (e.g., via the Mediterranean, Central Asia, or terrestrial routes) generally possess limited capacity, leading to:
- Network congestion and traffic bottlenecks.
- Intermittent outages and disconnected operations.
- Traffic prioritization by operators (resulting in a drop in quality for certain services due to heavy traffic).
- A domino effect on critical services: Many vital services depend entirely on stable connectivity:
- International banking and global payment systems.
- Stock exchanges and real-time trading.
- Logistics, port transport operations, and airlines.
- Cloud services and data centers.
In a worst-case scenario, the following could occur:
- Disruption of transactions and global trade.
- Delays or temporary suspension of certain commercial operations.
- Increased error rates in online services.
- Economic and psychological impacts: These can manifest even before an actual outage occurs, during the phase of “anticipating disruption”:
- Driving up operational costs.
- Introducing volatility into regional and global markets.
- Creating suspensions, corporate layoffs, etc.
- Duration of the disruption: Repairing undersea cables is a time-consuming process that can take days to weeks, making the recovery of service quality a gradual process.
- …
- …
To be continued…
Mohammad Ali Taheri
Founder of Erfan Keyhani Halgheh School & Taheri Peace Organization
Toronto: May 11, 2026 / Corresponding to Ordibehesht 21, 1405 SH
